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Annualised EPS: reading a quarterly result on the same footing as a year

A third-quarter EPS covers nine months. Before you compare it with last year's annual figure or divide the price by it, it has to be put on a twelve-month basis — here is how, and when not to.

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Listed companies in Nepal report every quarter of the fiscal year, which runs from Shrawan to Ashadh (mid-July to mid-July). The profit in a quarterly report is usually year-to-date: the first quarter covers three months, the second six, the third nine and the fourth all twelve. An earnings-per-share figure worked out from a third-quarter report is therefore nine months of earnings — and comparing it with a full year, or dividing today's price by it, understates the company by a quarter.

Putting a period on a twelve-month footing

Annualising scales the year-to-date figure up to a full year, on the assumption that the rest of the year earns at the same rate:

Annualised EPS = year-to-date EPS × 12 ÷ months covered

ReportMonths coveredMultiply by
First quarter34
Second quarter62
Third quarter94 ÷ 3
Fourth quarter121

A worked example

A bank with Rs 10 billion of paid-up capital has 100 million shares of Rs 100 each. Its third-quarter report shows a nine-month net profit of Rs 1.2 billion.

  • EPS for the nine months: Rs 1.2 billion ÷ 100 million shares = Rs 12.00
  • Annualised EPS: Rs 12.00 × 12 ÷ 9 = Rs 16.00

At a market price of Rs 400, the price-to-earnings ratio on the annualised figure is 25. On the nine-month figure it would read 33.3 — a stock that looks a third more expensive than it is.

When annualising misleads

Annualising is a projection, and it is only as good as the assumption that each month earns the same. Three cases break it:

  • Seasonal businesses. Run-of-river hydropower generates most in the monsoon, and most of the monsoon falls in the first quarter of the fiscal year. A first-quarter result multiplied by four overstates the year.
  • One-off items. A gain on the sale of an investment or a large write-back lifts one period. Scaled up, it becomes a year of gains that will not recur.
  • Balances, not flows. Only figures earned over time are annualised. Book value per share, total assets or deposits are balances on a date — they are never multiplied up.

A trailing-twelve-month figure — the last four quarters added together — avoids the projection altogether, at the cost of mixing two fiscal years. Portexa shows the quarter, year-to-date and trailing-twelve-month views side by side on each company's analysis page.

How Portexa shows EPS

On Portexa, EPS is calculated from the statement's own lines — net profit over the shares in issue — and annualised the way NEPSE reports state it. The EPS the company printed is shown beside it as the printed figure, never in its place, so a typing error or a different share count in a report is visible rather than hidden. The price-to-earnings ratio on the Fundamentals pages and the stock page uses the same annualised figure.

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